Archive for the ‘Feeder Cattle Futures’ Category

Cattle Futures Strengthening but Seasonal Tendency Coming Into Play

Cattle futures are coming off of fresh strength from last month and cattle feedlot managers may be able to squeeze out a few more bucks from the packers because of it. Feeder cattle futures are however, down today about 90 points and are trading at nearly $2.14 per pound at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Cattle futures peaked late last year at the $2.32 level but have been making a run back to these highs since basing in February at the $1.90 support level. Cattle producers are looking to make the most they can before the cattle marketing season begins to seasonally increase.

Cattle futures trend is up (we trade “feeder” cattle” – animals preparing for feedlot use. The cattle futures market is still strong, but as mentioned above the seasonal tendency for beef prices is to decline into the mid-June time frame is fast approaching.

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Higher Beef Prices Forthcoming with Record Reaching Cattle Futures

Cattle futures are signaling high beef prices to continue as the futures markets surge to new records. Feeder cattle is “limit-up” and live cattle futures are .37 cents from limit-up on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange as of this writing.

With the US domestic-herd shrinking to supplies not seen since the early 1950’s, the dwindling supplies have helped push beef prices to all-time highs. Bureau of Labor Statistics show ground-beef reaching a record $3.88 per pound last month and bone-less sirloin peaking out at nearly $7.69.

Increasingly larger demand for beef at record (beef prices) has caught the market by surprise. While supplies are much tighter than expected it’s even more of a surprise to see (cattle futures) demand hold firm at the elevated prices levels,” said Kevin Riordan, director of research at Capital Trading Group in Chicago, regarding the current cattle futures situation.

We are long feeder cattle futures from Friday with both a target price (218.62) and protective stop in place. Another limit-up day tomorrow and we could very easily realize our feeder cattle futures target.

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