Coffee Futures Lower on Production View

Signs of increased production with both arabica & robusta coffee beans have sent coffee futures right back down to multi-year lows.  Coffee futures are lower in both London & New York and haven’t been this low in price since the 1990’s.

The Int’l Coffee Organization says arabica output for the season that extends into 2013 is expected to spike almost 6% and robusta coffee production almost 9%.  The coffee bean crop being harvested at this time in Brazil is expected to be a record itself for an “off-year biennial cycle.”    

Mason Ching, Automated Trading Manager, Global Futures Exchange & Trading Company in Encino, CA, had this to say regarding the current coffee futures situation, “…weakness continues in London. Arabica cash markets seem quiet right now and roasters in the US are showing little interest in buying.”

Coffee futures trend resumed downward late last month.  This is a “large-account” sized market that I will only trade when the conditions and risk are most favorable.  Coffee futures is the market that helped launched my career in this industry, too.


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